Standard & Poor's: It is expected that the rise of trade protectionism in major economies will damage the GDP growth of most emerging markets, but the impact will depend on specific policies. Central banks in emerging markets are expected to take a more cautious stance, but monetary easing will continue.Goldman Sachs upgraded Societe Generale to neutral. Chris Hallam, an analyst at Goldman Sachs, had a previous rating of sell. The target price is 29.25 euros, which is 9% higher.US stocks "Seven Sisters" | Tesla and Google A closed up more than 5%, both hitting record highs. On Wednesday (December 11), in "Magnificent 7", Tesla closed up 5.93%, refreshing the record high of closing to 424.77 US dollars; Google's parent company, Alphabet(GOOGL), closed up 5.52%, the best performance for two consecutive days since 2015-accumulated up by about 11%, refreshing the historical high of closing to 195.40 US dollars; NVIDIA rose 3.14%, Amazon rose 2.32%, Meta Platforms rose 2.16%, Microsoft rose 1.28%, and Apple closed down 0.52% from its all-time high. In addition, AMD closed up 1.89%, TSMC ADR rose 1.39%, Berkshire Hathaway B shares closed down 0.24%, and Lilly fell 0.44%.
In recent years, the installed capacity of new energy generation in China has increased rapidly, and the demand for new energy storage and other regulatory resources has also increased. The energy storage development track is competing with each other, and the total output value of the industry will reach trillion level. In many new energy storage routes, lithium-ion batteries occupy more than 90% of the energy storage, and they are firmly in the first place; All-vanadium redox flow battery has high hopes because of its advantages of high safety, long life and expansibility, and has a good application prospect in the field of large-scale energy storage. This year, Sichuan Province issued the first national special policy to support the development of vanadium battery industry, Panzhihua City, Sichuan Province put forward the vision of building "China Vanadium Power Capital", and the demonstration project of all-vanadium liquid energy storage power station with commercial lease mode was launched here. In November, the project completed the bidding for the procurement of all-vanadium flow battery equipment, which has benchmarking significance for the integration and development of vanadium energy storage industry and financial services industry. (Securities Times)The rate of return of the money fund has reached a record low. Since December, the rate of return of the money fund has continued to decline. The annualized rate of return of Tianhong Yubao Money Fund, the largest, fell below 1.27% on the 7th, hitting a record low. According to industry insiders, the recently released "Self-discipline Initiative on Optimizing the Self-discipline Management of Non-bank Interbank Deposit Interest Rate" has a great impact on the Monetary Fund, and the superimposed interest rate is at a low level, and the yield of the Monetary Fund may continue to decline. As the income decreases, funds will look for new directions for allocation. Wang Menghan, an analyst at Zheshang Securities, said that compared with similar products, the advantages of money funds are tax exemption, liquidity and stable net value. Among them, for institutional customers, there are still tax exemption and liquidity demands, so there is little demand for reducing the holdings of money funds. However, for non-institutional investors, because the stability of the net value of the money fund will be obviously weakened, there is a demand to reduce the holdings of the money fund. (SSE)Blackstone secured loan fund will issue 300 million USD 5.350% unsecured notes at a fixed price, with a maturity date of 2028.
Guotai Junan: A shares are expected to go out of the New Year's market. Recently, Guotai Junan's 2025 strategy meeting will be held in Shenzhen. The conference made an in-depth discussion and comprehensive outlook on the hot topics of market concern and the investment strategy in 2025. Fang Yi, chief strategist of Guotai Junan, said in an interview that the bottom of the A-share market has emerged, which is optimistic about the prospects of China stock market. The key driving force for the market to start comes from the decline of risk-free interest rate and the boost of risk preference. After a long period of continuous adjustment, the pessimistic expectation and microstructure of A-shares are fully clarified, and the positive signal of decision-makers to steady economic growth and support the capital market is an important cornerstone for the upward revision of long-term expectations and the elevation of the bottom of the stock market. Looking forward to the A-share market in 2025, Fang Yi said that there is still room for the optimistic policy expectation at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, and A-shares are expected to go out of the New Year's market. However, in the case of rising geopolitical conflict risks, the stock index may face a staged headwind. However, as the market stabilizes and revises the economic and policy expectations, the stock index is expected to strengthen again in the second half of 2025. (shanghai securities news)The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 98.6%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 1.4%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 98.6%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 79.9%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 19%.Foreign investment increased by 9.7% in the first 10 months. China enterprises need multiple supporting escorts to "go global". At present, it has become the general trend for China enterprises to "go global". The data from January to October 2024 recently released by the Ministry of Commerce shows that the amount of foreign direct investment in China's whole industry has increased steadily. Statistics from the Ministry of Commerce and the foreign exchange bureau show that from January to October 2024, China's foreign direct investment in the whole industry was 135.87 billion US dollars, up 9.7% year-on-year. From large-scale infrastructure enterprises to build traffic arteries overseas, to technology companies to set up R&D centers in foreign countries, and then to manufacturers to lay out overseas factories, China enterprises have a wide and in-depth overseas footprint. However, it is worth noting that in the increasingly complex international environment, the support of professional supporting services is very important for China enterprises in the process of "going global". (SSE)
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
12-14